Black Swan

Name: Black Swan
Author: Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Penguin Books

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13,25 €

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What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge, they're impossible to predict, yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts',The Black Swanshows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.

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